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 As weather happens, the NBC40 Weather Team wants to keep you in the know about what's happening right now in the weather. The latest updates are below:  Updated: 11/3/09 08:50 pm I'M "ELECTING" TO KEEP THE FORECAST LARGELY DRY AND PLEASANT THROUGH NEXT WEEK, WITH MORE DAYS AS NICE AS ELECTION DAY WAS IN SIGHT SUNDAY-TUESDAY AFTER SOME COOLER WEATHER TO END THIS WEEK Sunny skies, mild temperatures, a light offshore breeze...dare I say "suntastic" weather, at least by November standards, on a bright and comfy Election Day throughout South Jersey. Weather can sometimes be a key factor, sometimes positive and oftentimes negative, in impacting voter turnout. But this year, you can't use the weather as a reason for not getting out to vote! And if we could somehow put Tuesday's great weather on a ballot as to the type of weather people want in the days ahead, I'm sure it would win in a landslide. Well we all know it doesn't quite work that way, but I do think the seven day forecast, and really the weather pattern through mid-November, will win the popular vote quite easily. While some cool days and even cooler nights are on the way the rest of the week, while there should be some frost and perhaps even a freeze either Tuesday or Friday nights for many of us, while an offshore coastal storm may throw some clouds in here(and perhaps a brief shower on Thursday), and while that same storm may make it a bit breezy and brisk(albeit sunny and dry) on Friday, the seven to ten day forecast is a mainly dry and partly to mostly sunny one. Temperatures and winds will vary day-to-day, but after a three-day cool shot from Wednesday through Friday, a nice moderating trend will lead to a return of the 60-something degree sunshine by the weekend and through a good part of next week. And since every month since April has seen a rainfall surplus, and in some cases an impressive one, it's been rare over the past seven months to have an extended stretch of dry weather. So it may be November, the days may be growing shorter, the sun may be setting earlier now that we're back on standard time, and the sun may not be as strong as it was just a few months ago, but compared to where we have been, and compared to where we should be for early November(normally one of the cloudier times of the year), we are actually looking pretty good through the end of next week. Now after that, if you allow me to look ahead just a bit, things may eventually change, first for the wetter and then eventually for the colder. While the first half of November should be fairly quiet, dry, and free of any significant weather systems, there are indications that thing could again turn fairly wet towards the 13th-16th. While certainly open to change, my thinking now is that a series of cold fronts will approach from the west, and have the potential at bringing up some tropical moisture from the southeast, the Gulf, or perhaps even the Carribean. There's even the chance of a rare late-season tropical development in the southwest Carribean or perhaps as far north as the Gulf of Mexico, so I'll watch for that possibility over the next ten days(though far from a certainty and even less certain to have an impact on our weather even if development can occur). So we'd stay mild, but turn kind of wet, in that timeframe, before seeing progressively colder shots of air starting to invade from Canada, and probably stick around through the second half of November. So dry and quiet the first half of the month, then mild and wet for a few days, then a turn to colder. That's the November idea as I see it now, and as with any forecast in South Jersey, be it a day, a week, or a month in advance, take it with a grain of salt, and keep in mind that it's always subject for revision. And even more uncertain is the longer range ideas for winter, yet each year around this time, I put out a winter weather outlook for South Jersey for the months of December, January, and February. Now I've done this each of the last five years, with varying degrees of success. While two turned out what I deem very good, two others were okay, there was one forecast that was nothing short of way off to say the least! I do think there is some skill and credibility in long-term forecast, like is commonly done with both the winter and hurricane seasons. So come this Thursday, I'll take a stab at this winter's forecast ideas. My winter weather preview will air during our 6pm and 11pm newscasts on Thursday, and a full version of that forecast will be posted here online by week's end as well for your perusal. So after 2 A's, 2 C's, and an F(or thereabouts), let's see what type of grade I get on this year's forecast. Only time will tell... ---Thanks for stopping by South Jersey! Have a great week, and I hope to see you back here online soon! ---Dan Skeldon © 2009 ACCESS.1 COMMUNICATIONS and WMGM-TV
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