Good Monday morning to you, South Jersey! I hope you all had a wonderful Father's Day weekend. The weather could not have been better even if it tried...and that's saying something! For the fourth weekend in a row, we were treated to low humidity, a nice breeze, and seasonable warmth on the mainland and coast. High pressure, centered near the Carolina coastline, will help keep things as they were this weekend...for the most part. We'll keep the seasonable warmth in place for the day, but the humidity will slowly be on the rise. Overall, we're comfortable through the daytime under mostly sunny skies. Highs should climb into the mid 80s on the mainland while the coast stops just shy of 80 degrees. South-southwest winds hold on either side of 10mph. Our string of cooler nights comes to a close tonight as cloud cover increases a bit ahead of a decaying frontal boundary. We may see a pop-up shower or two around midnight, but that should be it. We'll remain dry overall, but we'll also be warm and uncomfortable with lows in the upper 60s and a south wind at 5 to 10mph.
The aforementioned high pressure area off the east coast will continue to migrate eastward, placing us under a stronger influence of its return flow. Winds continue to come from the west and southwest, channeling warmer air from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. This will help turn up the heat for the next two days to a level we haven't seen all year: 90 degrees. The I-95 corridor holds the best chance to see 90 degrees tomorrow, while much of the mainland toes the line. The coast should hold in the mid 80s with an offshore wind at 5 to 10mph. Just about everyone that isn't on the barrier islands has a good shot at 90 degrees on Wednesday as high pressure migrates further to the east and a cold front approaches from the northwest. If the front gets close enough we may see some isolated thunderstorms pop up with plenty of instability in place. All in all, highs could climb as high as the low 90s on the mainland and mid 80s on the coast. Both days will also feature dew points approaching 70 degrees, creating a very uncomfortable air mass for everyone. The summer muggies will be out in full force!
As this cold front gets closer, we'll see our chances for some scattered thunderstorms increase through the day on Thursday. Highs also take a step backwards as the frontal boundary passes, but it isn't a substantial drop. We'll go from the low 90s to the mid 80s on the mainland and upper 70s on the coast. Wednesday and Thursday should NOT be considered as wash-outs, but know where you're umbrella is if you do run into one of these storms. We may see an isolated early morning shower on Friday, but the day itself should be dry and a little more comfortable. Highs only get into the low 80s on the mainland and mid 70s on the coast. Our frontal boundary stalls to the south, giving us a 50/50 split for the weekend. We may see a few showers and thunderstorms run along the front, grazing the region on Saturday. Sunday should be a little better off as high pressure tries to regain control. Highs on both days range in the upper 70s to mid 80s.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt