Good morning to you, South Jersey, and Thank Goodness It's Friday...as long as you get along with Friday the 13th. On this unlucky day, our weather follows suit. Showers have already made their presence known as a warm front lifts to the north, making today the fifth day in a row with measurable rainfall somewhere in the region (In this case, a quick 0.3" of rain fell in EHT). In this warm front's wake, we're witnessing some decent peeks of sunshine outside! While that in itself is always a good thing, any extra sunshine we see will not only heat us up more, but it will also destabilize the atmosphere even further as a slow moving cold front approaches from the west. The end result is a better chance for some late afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms...some of which may contain stronger winds and heavier downpours. The latter of those two points is the bigger concern at the moment, as these storms will likely be slow movers and have the ability to drop a lot of rain in a short amount of time. Regardless, highs should reach the low 80s on the mainland and upper 70s on the coast with dew points near 70 degrees, creating a rather humid day once again. This cold front is expected to pass later tonight, so the first half of the night may still see a few lingering showers and thunderstorms before the clearing process begins after midnight. Lows drop into the mid 60s with a west-southwest wind at 5 to 10mph. Once the clearing process begins, our weather pattern takes a turn for the better.
High pressure to the west will build eastward, clearing us out through the morning. Depending on the speed of our frontal passage, cloud cover may hang on through the morning on the coast and cape, but everyone should be partly to mostly sunny by the noon time hour. Above all else, dew points drop well into the low to mid 50s, creating a very comfortable feeling in the air for a change! Highs remain seasonably warm, with the mainland reaching the low to mid 80s and the coast getting to the upper 70s with a breezy northwest wind at 10 to 15mph. The pick day of the week, appropriately enough, is Father's Day. High pressure is directly over the Northeast, so we're sunny, calm, and comfortably warm on the mainland and coast! Highs hold steady from where they were on Saturday.
This same core of high pressure then begins to migrate eastward. As it does, our winds shift to a more southerly and southwesterly direction as we find ourselves under the influence of its return flow. It will eventually position itself near Bermuda, setting up a near classic case of a Bermuda High...where the east coast falls under a southerly flow regime and is thus warmer. Humidity is also expected to rise as more moist air comes up from the Gulf of Mexico. We stay dry on Monday with partly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s on the mainland and 80 degrees on the coast, but that changes once we reach the middle of next week. We keep an eye on the west as another cold front approaches for the Wednesday and Thursday time frame, renewing our chances for some pop-up thunderstorms. All the while, highs climb into the upper 80s on the mainland and upper 70s on the coast.
Have a great day and a fantastic weekend!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt