Good Thursday morning to you, South Jersey! The last few days have been far from ideal for one reason or another. Whether it has been humidity, cloud cover, rain, or a combination of the three, the weather hasn't been perfect. Sadly, this trend isn't giving up without a fight. Yesterday threw a bit of a curve ball in the form of a stronger easterly surge in the afternoon following a back door cold front's passage (Capping our daytime heading rather prematurely) and the rogue showers along the cape in the morning. Two constants remained in place: Cloudiness and humidity. That holds in place today along with rather foggy conditions this morning. The fog will lift, along with yesterday's frontal boundary. It will move through the region to the northeast in the form of a warm front, opening the door for a more southeasterly flow rather than a purely easterly one. The end result will still be a humid day, but it will at least be a little warmer. Highs reach the mid to upper 70s on the mainland and low 70s on the coast with that southeast wind at 10mph. As the front moves through the area, we run a renewed risk for scattered thunderstorms through the evening and into the sunset time frame. Conditions calm down a bit tonight, though I cannot rule out a few more showers through the overnight period. All in all, we're warm, cloudy, and uncomfortable tonight...lows hold in the upper 60s once again with a south wind at 10mph.
A highly anticipated cold front finally approaches the east coast through the day on Friday. It is a slow moving front, so the further east you go, the longer you'll see scattered rainfall and residual cloud cover. Either way, this is our best chance to see some showers and thunderstorms in the region, especially towards the afternoon, evening, and overnight periods. Some of these storms have the potential to produce heavier rainfall totals, but the severe threat is minimal. Highs creep towards the 80 degree mark on the mainland and mid 70s on the coast with a south-southwest wind at 10 to 15mph. The coast may see some leftover cloud cover on Saturday morning, but the clearing process should take place early on, giving way to a fantastic weekend! High pressure brings in a more refreshing air mass with less humidity, though temperatures don't really drop behind this cold front. Highs on both Saturday and Sunday should reach the low to mid 80s on the mainland and upper 70s on the coast...prefect weather for Saturday and Father's Day Sunday.
Once we reach the start of the next work week, we watch a few things happen. High pressure, which will be overhead on Sunday, slides to the east towards Bermuda. This sets up a classic "Bermuda High" situation...putting us under the influence of its return flow for the first half of the work week. What does that mean? It means increasing humidity and temperatures as well. I still don't think the heat will be intense (So no 90 degree days in the forecast yet), but a return to at least the mid 80s is certainly in the cards on the mainland. We'll stay mainly dry on Monday, but beginning on Tuesday, I can't rule out the chance for at least a pop-up shower or thunderstorm. Highs start in the low to mid 80s on the mainland for Monday before climbing into the mid to upper 80s range for the middle of the week. The coast hovers near 80 degrees during this time frame.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt