Good Thursday morning to you, South Jersey! Talk about a frigid start to the day. We had the ideal combination in place for a record breaking cold night in the region: Clear skies, little to no wind, dry air, and a fresh snow pack (Snow is a poor absorber of heat). The end result is a perfect example of radiational cooling in South Jersey? How cold? -3 degrees in EHT, breaking the old record of 5 set in 2000. Millville reached -9 (Old record was -2 set in 1961), and the lower cape dropped to 1 degree (Old record was 9...also set in 2000). Thankfully, I think this is as cold as it gets for a while. We begin a slow but gradual warm-up through the rest of the week and into the weekend. Skies today will remain mostly sunny thanks to a strong area of high pressure that is parked directly overhead. Despite the sunshine and a lighter wind out of the west-northwest at 5 to 10mph, highs will struggle to reach the low 30s on the mainland and coast. Then again, at this point, anything is an improvement over last night's cold. Speaking of nights, tonight will still be cold, though this time we should stay above zero. Skies will be partly to mostly clear as a little cloud cover moves in. Lows will be in the low teens further inland to mid teens on the coast with a light southwest wind at 5 to 10mph. High pressure then drifts further to the east, and we begin to fall under the influence of its warmer return flow. This will be reflected nicely in tomorrow's temperatures. Despite a little extra cloud cover (We'll call it partly cloudy), highs should still be able to climb into the low 40s on the mainland and coast...right where our average high temperature is for this time of year.
Our warming trends picks up a bit more this weekend as a warm front passes to our north on Saturday. This will open the door for a stronger push of warm, southerly air from the Gulf of Mexico region to come up the coast and into the Mid-Atlantic. Any snow that we received will likely melt away by then, and if anything holds on until Sunday, it'll have to contend with another round of rather warm temperatures. Both days this weekend will see highs right around the 50 degree mark, though both days will also feature mostly cloudy skies. A cold front will also approach the region on Sunday, giving us at least a chance for some rain showers in the afternoon and also in the morning on Monday if an impulse of low pressure can materialize along the frontal boundary and move along its way. If not, the start of the next work week will be a near average one with highs around 40 degrees and partly sunny skies. The day itself on Tuesday should also be fine, with partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs in the low 40s, but an area of low pressure is expected to pull through the region through the night and impact us through Wednesday. The good news: It's looking like it will be more rain than anything else. The bad news: There's still at least a chance for some flurries at the beginning and end of this event. Timing and details will continue to be monitored through the weekend, but either way, it'll be more than warm enough on Wednesday to be all rain by day...highs should reach the low to mid 40s.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt