Good Wednesday morning, South Jersey, and Happy Hump Day to you all as well! It's time to take a step back once again and see what went right and/or wrong with this particular winter storm. First, what went right. The timing of this event was rather close to the anticipated window of 7pm to 7am, with just a few flurries hanging around the further east you go. Along the lower cape and coast, this storm did not disappoint. Widespread 4 to 6 inch reports have been coming in from the area with some pockets of even deeper accumulation. Second, what went wrong. This storm over performed throughout the mainland. A few rounds of slow moving mesoscale banding set up to the west and trudged to the east, allowing Cumberland and western Atlantic county to catch up and in some places exceed what was seen further east despite a later start time for snow. So half of the snow forecast panned out, while the other half was an under-shoot. Either way, the last of those flurries has since moved off the coast and will travel with the parent low pressure system out to sea. Cloud cover will dissipate through the morning, giving way to clearer skies this afternoon. Highs, however, won't rebound too much with this sunshine...mid 20s for the entire region with a northwest wind at 10 to 20mph. Wind chill values will range in the single digits. With clear skies, calmer winds out of the north at 10mph, and a fresh snow pack on the ground, temperatures will fall into the single digits tonight on the mainland and low teens on the coast. Thankfully, this should be the last truly cold night for a little while.
Once we get to Thursday, a warming trend begins to take over and stay with us through the weekend. The jet stream will begin to lift to the north and east, taking the core of this cold air with it. We won't be drastically warmer tomorrow, but highs in the low 30s on the mainland and coast is at least a step in the right direction. Winds will also continue to calm down as high pressure builds towards the coast a bit more...any breeze will be out of the west at 5 to 10mph. The end of the work week features one of two pick days of the week. Friday should remain mainly pleasant with partly sunny skies and highs in the low 40s, but the weekend still holds the warmest air. Both Saturday and Sunday will have highs in the mid to upper 40s, with Saturday holding the better chance as of now at reaching 50 degrees. Sunday morning may get off to a soggy start, as we keep an eye on the chance for some morning rain showers. We get a break on Monday with sunnier skies, though temperatures also take a step back into the upper 30s to low 40s following the passage of a cold front. An unsettled day may be in store for us on Tuesday as we keep an eye on an area of low pressure. Right now, rain would be the main impact with a few flakes mixing in towards the north and west. It's still six days out, so there is plenty of time to monitor this. Highs for the day would get back into the low 40s.
Stay safe out there, and have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt