Calm Before The Storm -

Calm Before The Storm

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Hello, South Jersey, and good Monday morning to you all! I hope you were able to enjoy the weekend...or at least some portion of it, depending on your affinity for cold weather. Between Friday and Sunday, we watched the proverbial bottom fall from underneath our temperatures; a 59 degree daytime high temperature gave way to a mere 31 degree high temp at the airport in EHT! Granted, the "official" high for yesterday is 33, but that was recorded at midnight. I was cold either way. High pressure will continue to move to the east over the course of the day, so we'll remain sunny and dry, but it will also remain breezy and cold. It won't be as bad as yesterday, but anything is better than that. Highs will reach the upper 30s on the mainland and coast with a west wind at 5 to 15mph. A cloud deck associated with tomorrow's weather will begin to move into the region towards sunset and through the night tonight. This cloud cover will help insulate us a bit at the surface, so overnight lows won't be as cold this time around. Low to mid 30s can be expected on the mainland and coast with a warmer southwest wind at 10 to 15mph. Those wind speeds will increase through the day tomorrow as will any additional cloud cover. The morning should remain dry as will the early afternoon. Beyond noon, however, conditions will begin to go downhill quickly. An area of low pressure, whose origins will be from the Gulf of Mexico, will take a turn up the Atlantic coastline. Rainfall will creep in from southwest to northeast, and as it does, it will pick up in intensity through the evening. Highs will climb to near 50 degrees wherever you may be, so this will be an all rain event. Southwest winds will reach 10 to 20mph.

The best window for heavier rainfall comes into the region between Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, so if you are planning on doing any traveling for the upcoming holiday, I highly recommend that you do sooner (Today, tomorrow morning, or even Thursday morning) rather than later. More rain is likely through much of the day on Wednesday, which will likely create havoc on all major transportation hubs. Further north and west, however, they'll likely deal with snow rather than rain. At any rate, highs will reach the low to mid 50s before we watch cooler air make a comeback into our forecast. Rainfall amounts, when all is said and done, should easily exceed the one inch mark...locally heavier amounts of 2 inches cannot be ruled out. A few wet flakes may mix into the picture at the tail end of this event, but that should really be it on the frozen precipitation front (No pun intended). Now, for some good news: A dry Thanksgiving and Black Friday are still in the forecast! Unfortunately, we'll also see that cold air that I mentioned earlier. Highs for both days will struggle to reach the upper 30s on the mainland and coast. Of the two days, Thursday should be the breezier and cooler of the pair. Near seasonable temperatures will also begin to creep back into South Jersey's direction through the weekend as high pressure keeps us dry. Skies remain mostly sunny for both days with highs in the low to mid 40s on Saturday and mid to upper 40s on Sunday.

Have a great day!

- Meteorologist Adam Rutt

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