Good Thursday morning to you, South Jersey! We've had our winter preview (Between the flurries on Tuesday and the 40 degree high temperature yesterday), so now we begin our return to autumn-like conditions...for a while, at least. High pressure to the south and west will continue to assert its influence over the eastern third of the nation. This is a very large and strong area of high pressure, so we'll feel its effects for a few more days before anything significantly changes. Speaking of changes, slightly warmer air will begin to make a return into the region today as that aforementioned area of high pressure drifts further to the east. Winds take a turn to the west and southwest, which will help transport some of that warmer air into the area. It won't be incredibly warm today, but anything is better than yesterday. Highs should reach the low to mid 50s on the mainland and coast with a southwest wind at 10 to 15mph. Winds calm down tonight, and we'll remain clear as well. A chilly night, not necessarily a cold one like the last two nights, is on tap for the region with lows in the mid 30s on the mainland and 40 degrees on the coast. Winds remain out of the southwest at 5 to 10mph. The wind remains calm for the end of the work week, and for the first time in a good while, we'll have an average fall day! Our average high temperature in EHT is 57 degrees, and I think we'll hit that mark tomorrow on the mainland but fall just short of it on the beaches and boardwalks. Regardless if you see average temperatures or not, it'll still be a wonderful day with partly to mostly sunny skies.
Once we reach the weekend, our warming trend really takes hold. As a whole, we're dry, but cloud cover increases through the day on Sunday. All the same, highs start off just under 60 degrees on the mainland for Saturday (Mid to upper 50s on the coast) before reaching the low to mid 60s on Sunday. The source of this warm push is two fold: First, high pressure continuing to slide to the east. This puts us under the influence of its return flow even more. Second, an approaching cold front from the west. The warmer and more moist pre-frontal air mass associated with it comes into the picture through Sunday. With these two sources of warm, southerly air in place, we'll be able to warm up nicely through the start of the work week. There's a catch: That cold front has to pass, and we'll see rainfall as a result. This isn't necessarily a bad thing; we've only received a half of an inch of rain so far this month, so we could use some moisture to soak our dry ground. Either way, we'll see our best chance for rain and some wind on Monday with highs in the mid to upper 60s on the mainland and mid 60s on the coast. Once this front passes, temperatures begin their tumble back to where we just were. Tuesday is the transition day with gradually clearing skies and highs in the mid 50s, but we're back in the 40s with sunny skies by next Wednesday. Such is the fall season...
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt