Good Thursday morning to you, South Jersey! Our autumn roller coaster ride up and down the thermometer will continue today as we watch a cold front that has been on our radar (no pun intended...maybe) since this past Monday. It's expected to pass through the region later this afternoon, but before it does an impulse of moisture will run up the Mid-Atlantic coastline and move through South Jersey before the actual cold front arrives with round two of some showers. We'll continue to feel the above average warmth that we had yesterday, but high temperatures will likely be recorded a little earlier this time around. Those temperatures are expected to climb into the mid to upper 60s on the mainland and mid 60s on the coast with a southwest wind to start at 10 to 20mph. Once this front passes, temperatures are expected to drop at a decent rate. Winds will also shift from that warmer southwesterly direction to a cooler northwesterly direction. Skies will gradually clear through the overnight period with high pressure moving into the picture. Temperatures will continue to plummet into the mid to upper 30s throughout much of the area...the coast may be able to stay near 40 degrees. Winds will calm down a bit, but they'll remain out of the northwest at 10 to 15mph. Friday can be described with three words: Sunny and Chilly. High pressure moves further to the east, and the cooler northwesterly flow stays in place. Highs will struggle to reach the mid 50s on the mainland and coast despite plenty of sunshine. Northwest winds at 15 to 20mph will not do us any favors in keeping things seasonable.
Pleasant conditions will remain with us through the weekend, and temperatures will also gradually return to average levels (Which, by the way, is 60 degrees for highs and roughly 40 degrees for lows). High pressure will continue to move to the east, but we should remain at least partly to mostly sunny for Saturday. Highs will creep into the mid to upper 50s on the mainland and mid 50s on the coast. A very weak cold front is expected to sweep through the Northeast on Sunday, but with little substance to it, I don't expect much outside of a slight warm-up and maybe a few more clouds. High will hover around 60 degrees on the mainland and upper 50s on the coast. Veterans Day, thankfully, is still expected to be a winner. Skies remain partly to mostly sunny with highs just north or south of 60 degrees by land and coast. Once we reach the middle of the week, that's when things get interesting. A stronger push of cold air arrives following the passage of another weak cold front. Highs from Tuesday into Wednesday are expected to drop towards the 50 degree mark, but the other piece worth monitoring is some unsettled weather that may arrive by next Thursday. There is way too much inconsistency among the models to pinpoint EXACTLY what would happen, as even a "calmer" 7 to 10 day forecast can be wily. For now, I'm holding off on any judgement until more model runs and (hopefully) more consistency comes around.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt