Good Monday morning to you, South Jersey! I hope you all had a wonderful weekend (Rain aside on Saturday night, of course). We'll start this first full week of the fall season on a rather sunny note, but we'll also be rather chilly today. High pressure (Along with an associated ridge in the jet stream) will slowly move to the east over the next five days. It's current position, however, leaves us on the cooler, eastern side of this core of high pressure. As winds move clockwise around this core, we'll see winds out of the north for the day today, and those winds will be gusty at times...adding an extra chill to the air. Despite plentiful sunshine, we'll only see highs reach the mid to upper 60s on the mainland and coast with a breezy north wind at 10 to 15mph. Winds will calm down tonight, but that will allow temperatures to fall rather quickly. Tonight is a perfect example of radiative cooling at its most effective. We'll see clear skies, feel calm wind, and have dry air in place. These are the three main "ingredients" to a chilly night. Lows will easily drop into the low to mid 40s on the mainland and near 50 on the beaches with a light north wind at 5 to 10mph.
Two major trends will take hold of our weather over the next several days. First, high pressure will keep us mainly sunny and dry with few exceptions. One of those little exceptions is Wednesday evening into Thursday. An area of low pressure will miss us to the south and stay suppressed there thanks to this area of high pressure, but we may see a little extra cloud cover during that time frame depending on the final track. Otherwise, that may very well end up being the "worst" weather that we see in the extended forecast. The second trend will be a slow but gradual increase in our temperatures. It shouldn't end up being anything drastic, but we'll eventually return to near or slightly above average temperatures by the weekend. Highs begin their climb at the 70 degree mark on the mainland and coast on Tuesday before gradually rising into the low to mid 70s by Thursday on the mainland and low 70s on the coast. From there, mid to upper 70s are expected west of the parkway and low to mid 70s on the coast through the weekend under partly to mostly sunny skies throughout the stretch. Our next chance for some rainfall doesn't come around until next Monday at the earliest as we keep an eye on a cold front that should eventually arrive along the east coast.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt