Good Monday morning to you, South Jersey! I hope you all had a nice, albeit hot, weekend. I have some good news and some bad news for you all. First, the bad news: With the exception of one day, there is a lingering chance for an isolated to scattered thunderstorm every day this week (I'll reveal what day has the best chance at staying dry in a bit). The good news: We FINALLY drop below the 90 degree mark for high temperatures after an unexpected 8th day in this heat wave came around yesterday. Cloud cover will be on and off today as a result of a stalled frontal boundary that is draped right over the Mason-Dixon line. That will also act as a track for any organized areas of convection to travel right through the area...including any scattered showers or thunderstorms that may pop up later today. While the threat for some wet weather is there, I do think we all stay mainly dry. Everyone has the chance to see an isolated storm, but not everyone will actually see one. Overall, expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the mid to upper 80s on the mainland and low to mid 80s on the coast with a light southeast wind at 10mph. Unfortunately, dew points will likely remain in the low 70s, meaning muggy air will remain. We'll remain warm and muggy tonight with partly cloudy skies and, once again, the slight chance at an isolated shower. Lows will fall into the mid 70s with a light south wind.
The better chance at some wet weather (And from the looks of things, the best chance as well) comes around on Tuesday. A weak impulse will travel along that stalled frontal boundary and give us a better chance at some scattered showers and thunderstorms through the day and night. Otherwise, we'll remain partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s west of the parkway and mid 80s on the beaches with a south to southeast wind at 5 to 10mph. The next two days hinge on the placement of that stalled frontal boundary. There is some disagreement with the eastward progression, so for now I'll leave a mention of an isolated thunderstorm for both days with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Our best chance at a dry day comes on Friday as high pressure begins to nudge into the region from the north. If it comes down far enough south and early enough, we may see a sub-70 degree temperature in South Jersey...something that has only happened once this month so far (That was on the morning of the 12th). Dew points may also finally drop into the mid 60s...nothing drastic, but a step in the right direction. At any rate, we may at least end the work week on a solid note with partly sunny skies and highs in the mid 80s on the mainland and low 80s on the coast. The weekend will have a cold front approach the area, so we'll have to re-introduce the chance for some showers or thunderstorms with highs in the 80s.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt