Good Wednesday morning to you, South Jersey, and Happy Hump Day as well! While it hasn't necessarily been "hot" this summer (High temperatures in E.H.T have only been two degrees above average so far), it certainly has been humid...or muggy...or any other way to describe how uncomfortable it has been so far. The trend of mugginess in the air will continue for at least two more days ahead of a stationary front to the north, a cold front to the west, and a stubborn southwesterly flow that continues to channel warm and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. The silver lining to today's weather, if you want to call it that, is the increased cloud cover. That will act as a shield of sorts and keep the brunt of the solar radiation/daytime heating from reaching the surface. We'll still reach the mid to upper 80s on the mainland and 80 on the beaches, but that's at least a step in the right direction. Unfortunately, with dew points in the low 70s, it will still feel warm and uncomfortable to be outside. Also, keep an eye out for any showers or thunderstorms that may pop up over the course of the day. They'll linger through the night tonight with lows in the low to mid 70s. Winds today and tonight will be out of the southwest at 10mph. The second part of our unsettled short term forecast arrives tomorrow in the form of a cold front that is currently over the Midwest. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, though the threat for severe weather is minimal. Regardless, any storm that comes through may produce gusty winds and heavier downpours. Highs tomorrow will only reach the low to mid 80s whether your on the islands or not. Winds will remain out of the southwest at first, but then shift to the west at 15mph.
A few showers may linger on Friday morning...depending on the progression of that cold front. Either way, the clearing process begins in the afternoon, and high pressure arrives with some drier air (mid 60s for dew points instead of low to mid 70s) and pleasant conditions. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s on the mainland and upper 70s on the coast. The weekend, for now, appears to be dry, but the models don't quite seem to agree. A closed upper level low is forecasted to drift over the Mid-Atlantic, which would imply a chance for some showers and thunderstorms if this were to verify. If it would, upper level moisture values are somewhat shallow, so any activity would be isolated. For now, I'm leaving the rain out of the forecast and keeping the weekend partly sunny and dry. Just as a heads up, this may change if the trend continues into tomorrow and Friday. Highs for both day will be in the mid 80s on the mainland and upper 70s to near 80 on the coast. Another warm-up is on the way next week, and unfortunately, the humidity is expected to return as well. Highs creep to near 90 degrees for Monday and Tuesday under partly cloudy skies.
Meanwhile, Chantal has been weakened a good bit after passing through Hispaniola and eastern Cuba. She is now headed towards the Florida peninsula, and while I don't expect much of anything to impact our weather, the Southeast is keeping a very close eye on her progression.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt