Good Tuesday morning to you, South Jersey! If at any point during the day you feel like you've seen this weather before, you're most likely right. Today's weather will be "carbon copy" weather, but not necessarily for all the right reasons. We'll remain dry overall, but a renewed threat for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm will arise once again. This is all due to another weak little piece of energy, an impulse if you will, that will move through the region later today. Overall, the day will be partly sunny, but keep an eye on the skies later today. Highs will also trend a little warmer on the mainland with a stronger southwesterly flow at the surface and also aloft. Temperatures will reach 90 on the mainland and the low to mid 80s on the coast with that aforementioned southwest wind at 10 to 15mph. A few more rumbles of thunder are possible before the midnight hour tonight, but we should remain drier and calm through the night. We'll call it partly to mostly cloudy with lows in the low 70s and a lighter southwest wind at 5 to 10mph. Once we hit the middle of the week, we begin to see two trends emerge.
The first trend is a slight cool down in our high temperatures. It isn't anything drastic (Nothing below 80 degrees on the mainland), but it's a step back to average high temperatures which, for those of you who are keeping score at home, is 86 degrees. The slide begins on Wednesday with highs in the upper 80s on the mainland and low 80s on the coast, but we'll remain muggy with partly cloudy skies and a chance at some more P.M. thunderstorms. The only day that has a chance at being labeled a "wash-out" is Thursday. At that time, we watch a cold front arrive from the Midwest and give us our best chance at showers and thunderstorms throughout the day and night. There aren't any advisories posted for the potential of stronger storms, but that doesn't mean any storm we see can't produce any gusty winds and/or heavier downpours. Highs will range in the mid to upper 80s. A few showers may linger as that front is slow to depart on Friday morning, but the day will not be a wash-out. Highs will slide further into the mid 80s on the mainland and upper 70s to low 80s on the beach. The weekend, which looked worse with yesterday's forecast, now is looking much better now that we have a bit of a better handle on this front. Skies will be partly sunny with more pleasant conditions into next week. Highs from Saturday to Monday will range in the mid 80s on the mainland and near 80 on the coast.
A quick tropics update...Chantal continues to race towards the Lesser Antilles and the island of Hispaniola, where it will dump plenty of heavy rainfall through southern Cuba before weakening and traveling towards the Florida peninsula. While there is no moderate or significant threat to us, it's still worth monitoring to see how this storm behaves.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt