Good Monday morning to you, South Jersey! The countdown to the unofficial start of the Summer season now stands at 5 days and counting. Unfortunately, it will seem like an eternity away with the stretch of weather we'll have to put up with this week...at least this work week, that is. A stalled frontal boundary will eventually lift through the region in the form of a warm front, and that will help usher in some warm, moist, and unstable air. With enough peeks of sunshine after we get rid of some morning fog, scattered showers and the occasional thunderstorm are possible through the evening. Highs will reach the mid 70s on the mainland and near 70 on the beaches with a south wind at 10 to 15mph. Temperatures won't fall too much tonight with a persistent cloud deck that will act as a thermal blanket of sorts. The instability in the atmosphere is diminished a bit, but an isolated shower is possible before midnight. Lows will be in the low 60s with a south wind at 5 to 10mph. This brings us to the "glass half full" portion of my forecast: Tomorrow. While the chance is still there for an isolated shower or thunderstorm, this day also holds the best possibility for us to enjoy a dry day from start to finish. Is it a guarantee? Unfortunately, no. Either way, skies will remain mostly cloudy with highs near 80 on the mainland with low 70s along the shore and a southwest wind at 10mph.
The rest of the work week is, in essence, dominated by warmth and instability. A persistent southwesterly flow aloft will channel warm and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico right into our backyard, giving us highs in the upper 70s to low 80s from Wednesday through Friday. Let me also add this: I don't see any of the next five days (Monday through Friday) being wash-outs at all. Along with this, all eyes will be on an approaching cold front that is slated (for now) to arrive on Thursday. That day in particular also appears to hold the best potential for thunderstorm activity in the region with the southwesterly flow ahead of that cold front reaching its peak. Dan, myself, and newcomer Sydney Daniel will keep an eye on this frontal boundary as it approaches. Despite the doom and gloom, I do have some good news: Memorial Day weekend, as of now, looks absolutely beautiful! High pressure builds over the Northeast for the weekend, giving us sunnier skies and more comfortable high temperatures in the low to mid 70s. In short, we just have to pay our dues now before we are rewarded with a near perfect unofficial start to Summer!
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt