Good Monday morning to you, South Jersey! If there is an opportunity to use the word "melancholy" to describe our weather, it's usually never a good thing (Then again, I love being able to use slightly obscure adjectives that also create an alliteration). Today is certainly no exception to that. A weak area of low pressure is slowly moving to the east, but any significant eastward movement is being truncated by high pressure just off the Cape Cod coastline. Ironically enough, it's that same core of high pressure that gave us our beautiful weekend. I digress. Highs will struggle to reach 60 degrees with plenty of cloud cover in place as well as an onshore breeze out of the southeast at 10mph. The low to our west will eventually dissipate, but another weak area of low pressure to our south will form and move due eastward. How much rain we see tonight into tomorrow is dependent on the position of that core of high pressure, where our low is to the south, and if we can see any dry air being brought into the region. As they say in real estate, "Location, Location, Location"! This has proven to be the most difficult and tedious portion of the forecast, so we'll tread a bit lighter. Rain is still likely through the night tonight with lows hovering around the 50 degree mark with a southeast wind at 10 to 15mph.
Showers should become less numerous through the afternoon tomorrow, but you'll likely still need an umbrella. Highs will almost be a mirror image of what we'll see today...low 60s on the mainland and upper 50s on the beaches with an easterly wind at 10mph. The middle of the week, Wednesday, appears to be dry and mostly cloudy with some clearing occurring during the day. Again, this is heavily dependent on the positioning of several pieces of the meteorological puzzle that I mentioned earlier. What IS certain, however, is the formation of a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast through the middle of the week. An Omega block forms...that's when the jet stream creates a ridge around a core of high pressure that resemble the Greek letter "Omega" (You can Google it to see what I mean). Fortunately for us, as opposed to the last block of this nature that was around in March, we'll be dry and about where we should be for this time of year for temperatures. Thursday through Sunday will all be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 60s by day and lows in the mid 40s by night. To put it simply, if you liked this past Saturday's weather, you'll love the long term forecast!
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt