Good Wednesday morning, South Jersey, and Happy Hump Day! Talk about a swing of the proverbial pendulum. The last five days have seen a twenty degree free-fall in our high temperatures in E.H.T. Just five days ago, we had a high of 68 degrees...we have hit the bottom as of yesterday with a measly 48 degree high temperature. It's all uphill from here, though, but there's a slight catch. We're keeping an eye on an approaching cold front that is still well off to the west. Ahead of it, there is a decent bit of warm air advection (Strong southerly winds that are bringing up some warmer air from the Southeast) that will arrive through the day today. Highs will easily reach the mid to upper 60s on the mainland, and 70 degrees is possible as well. The coast will still warm up, but only into the low 60s with a sea breeze developing in the afternoon. Winds will be out of the southwest at 15mph. That cold front arrives through the night tonight, and cloud cover will return as well. This will act as a natural blanket of sorts for the surface, so we won't cool down too much tonight. Lows will be in the upper 40s with scattered showers arriving around or after midnight. Winds will remain a bit strong and out of the south at 10 to 15mph. Cloud cover will linger a bit longer after the rain subsides, but we'll gradually clear out through the day. It will also be slightly cooler behind this front with highs "only" in the low 60s.
Friday through Monday can be described with one word: Seasonable. High pressure builds back into the Northeast following that frontal passage, and we are treated with simply gorgeous Spring-like weather! The four day stretch will have partly to mostly sunny skies (With Monday holding the biggest cloud potential...details in a moment on that one) with highs in the mid 60s. Keep in mind, our average high temperature by the end of the week will be roughly 65 degrees, so it will also be a near perfect example of an "average" Spring weekend in South Jersey. Once we hit the start of the next work week, we run into a bit of a dilemma. High pressure to the north with co-mingle with low pressure to the south along the eastern third of the nation. The question is this: Which will assert more dominance over our weather. Well, it all depends on which ends up being more influential and as a result stronger. The jury is out on this one at the moment amongst the models, so I'll leave it as a chance for showers on Tuesday with a dry (for now) Monday. Highs for both days should remain in the low to mid 60s.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt