Hello again, and good morning to you all! Thanks to a break in the cloud cover, we were treated to a beautiful sunrise to kick off the last day of the work week. With the additional sunshine, we'll warm up a few more degrees than yesterday, but with the northwest winds blowing at 10 to 15mph, it will still feel cooler. Actual air temperatures continue their downward slide through the weekend as cold air plunges southward from Canada. While not bone-chilling cold, it will still be almost ten degrees below average for this time of year. Highs for both days will reach the low 40s with Saturday being the warmer of the two days. Near 40 degree temperatures will be the norm for Monday and Tuesday under partly sunny skies, but all eyes then focus on the middle of the week.
In regards to the middle of the week, the two major trains of thought and their respective "representatives" have not budged too much. The latest GFS model continues to keep this storm off the coastline, but the overall shift has favored the north. Either way, this solution still implies a little to no snow event with some wind for South Jersey. The GFS has been having problems with consistency in its storm placement as well as its intensity, but it cannot be ruled out due to the fact that the other camp is still running strong on a conflicting solution. That other camp is represented by the EURO and now adds the Canadian model to its team. The predicted track and strength of the storm has not changed...to recap, that means a northern shift with respect to where it forms and where it goes out to sea. This would also mean some amount of snow falling in the region and all through the Delmarva Peninsula among other location.
What is certain about this event? Well, nothing is 100% certain, but it is more and more likely that SOME KIND of coastal storm forms SOMEWHERE along the Carolina coastline. Also, this won't be a matter of rain or snow...if we see anything at all. With plenty of cool air in place, this looks to be a snow or no snow call. Beyond this, the strength and track of this storm is still widely uncertain and will likely remain so for the next few days. Be sure to keep an eye out and an ear open for any more updates from Dan and myself.
Have a great day and a better weekend!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt