A dreary good morning to you all. Showers will continue to move through the region over the course of the day today due in part to a slow moving low pressure system just off to the west. This storm system, believe it or not, is part of the same event that blanketed the Midwest with over a foot of snow. It has since weakened considerably and continues to crawl eastward through the day today. Also, due to the cloud cover associated with this, temperatures won't rise too much from our low temps...upper 40s to near 50 degrees will be what we feel outside to end the month of February. Tomorrow begins what is known as Meteorological Spring, the three months of the year that aren't too cold, but also exhibit a gradual warming trend. This form of the season ends on May 31st. Astronomical Spring, what we see on the calendar, doesn't arrive for another three weeks. I digress. The start of March will be a decidedly sunnier one (as high pressure build into the region overnight tonight), but it also marks the beginning of a long term cool down. High temps for the day will still hover at near average levels (The upper 40s for those of you keeping score at home), but the downward trend picks up once we hit the weekend.
Saturday and Sunday appear to be identical days in terms of overall pleasant conditions outside, but Sunday will be the cooler of the two days. Saturday remains in the low to mid 40s, but Sunday will see highs struggle to reach the 40 degree mark in many locations. The beginning of the first full work week of the month doesn't fair any better in terms of getting warmer. Upper 30s to low 40s will be your high temperature range on Monday before we really focus our attention on the middle of the week. Right around March 6th (That would be Wednesday), the models are indicating a coastal storm forming off the Carolina coastline. While the formation of the system itself is widely agreed upon, its speed and track are still in major disagreement. Two major thought processes come up when looking at this: An "out to sea" track that gives us next to nothing in terms of precipitation, or a "close to the coast" track that gives us what may be our last legitimate shot for snowfall this winter. Neither of these predictions are set in stone, so be sure to check with Dan Skeldon and myself for the latest updates.
Have a great day!
- Meteorologist Adam Rutt